Day 19: Tuesday
I walked to downtown again today, from 7 to 7:30. Three guys were walking dogs, one woman running (not jogging), a pair jogging, a pair walking. Three cars and two pickup trucks that seemed to be landscapers.
Pretty normal day, really. Each of us went out for a walk; each of us spent much of our time online, with activities ranging from software development to D&D. Our connection went down for two or three minutes in mid-afternoon, but came back up.
The graph of total cases in the county looks a bit jerky, but yesterday's 200 new cases may have been a blip. Doubling time again looks to be between 5 and 6 days. California as a whole is slightly quicker; New York, Michigan, and Louisiana are on fire. Why Michigan? There is a well-reasoned claim that NYC is starting to flatten out, which will be very good news, if borne out.
At the national scale, both US and UK seem to be doubling deaths in 3 days and cases in 4, so we can hope that they are truly declerating. Spain has clearly turned a corner, and Italy still seems to be doubling once a week or less. Both had grown fast until they reached about 5k dead, which the US will shortly also do. India reports fewer cases than Finland; hmm.
Commentary: guess what, dear ol' Jerry Brown also has something to answer for. As does Jeremy Hunt. I've long observed that dictatorial governments, and for that matter absolute monarchies, have one hard-to-dispute advantage over democracies: they confidently expect to be in power decades (even centuries) into the future, so they will carefully consider the long term. With the possible exceptions of Australia and Canada, few electorates are mature enough to vote for rulers like that.
Pretty normal day, really. Each of us went out for a walk; each of us spent much of our time online, with activities ranging from software development to D&D. Our connection went down for two or three minutes in mid-afternoon, but came back up.
The graph of total cases in the county looks a bit jerky, but yesterday's 200 new cases may have been a blip. Doubling time again looks to be between 5 and 6 days. California as a whole is slightly quicker; New York, Michigan, and Louisiana are on fire. Why Michigan? There is a well-reasoned claim that NYC is starting to flatten out, which will be very good news, if borne out.
At the national scale, both US and UK seem to be doubling deaths in 3 days and cases in 4, so we can hope that they are truly declerating. Spain has clearly turned a corner, and Italy still seems to be doubling once a week or less. Both had grown fast until they reached about 5k dead, which the US will shortly also do. India reports fewer cases than Finland; hmm.
Commentary: guess what, dear ol' Jerry Brown also has something to answer for. As does Jeremy Hunt. I've long observed that dictatorial governments, and for that matter absolute monarchies, have one hard-to-dispute advantage over democracies: they confidently expect to be in power decades (even centuries) into the future, so they will carefully consider the long term. With the possible exceptions of Australia and Canada, few electorates are mature enough to vote for rulers like that.
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